Rob's Market Commentary

SentiSense Market Mood

as of Oct 28, 2026 · 0 = extreme fear, 100 = extreme greed · weekly change in points

Market Mood score

36/100

Anxiety

▼ −7.3 pts this week

Extreme fearNeutralExtreme greed

Social Sentiment

wk −0.7

Market Direction

wk −2.2

Risk Appetite

wk −18.0

Social Momentum

wk 0.0

S&P 500 Trend

wk −4.4

Options Flow

wk −24.7

Sector scores (11 sectors, strongest to weakest)

Real Estate

50−4.0

Neutral

Utilities

49−11.0

Neutral

Materials

48−2.2

Neutral

Cons. Staples

46−13.6

Neutral

Cons. Discretionary

46−9.2

Neutral

Industrials

43−4.3

Anxiety

Financials

43−9.3

Anxiety

Energy

39−9.9

Anxiety

Health Care

37−9.7

Anxiety

Technology

37+0.8

Anxiety

Comm. Services

36+0.6

Anxiety

Leaders, laggards and divergences

Strongest sectors

Real Estate50 · −4.0
Utilities49 · −11.0
Materials48 · −2.2

Weakest sectors

Comm. Services36 · +0.6
Technology37 · +0.8
Health Care37 · −9.7

Divergences

Crowd vs price: Social Sentiment reads 53 while Market Direction (49) and S&P 500 Trend (19) are deeply weak, so chatter is calmer than price action.

Source: SentiSense market-mood reading (cached nightly). Sentiment data, not a recommendation.

S&P 500

7,743.98

+21.38 (+0.28%)

1-month +1.0%

Nasdaq

26,549.85

+72.04 (+0.27%)

1-month -0.9%

Dow

52,475.10

+97.53 (+0.19%)

1-month +2.2%

Russell 2000

2,830.51

+11.64 (+0.41%)

1-month +0.8%

10-yr yield

5.045%

+0.052 (+1.04%)

1-month -3.7%

VIX

16.91

-0.61 (-3.48%)

1-month +5.2%

Dollar (DXY)

102.15

-0.17 (-0.17%)

1-month +0.9%

WTI oil

101.98

+2.08 (+2.08%)

1-month +10.1%

Gold

4,061.90

-12.70 (-0.31%)

1-month -2.6%

Bitcoin

81,280

+0.78% 24h

USD, CoinGecko

Ether

2,358

+0.63% 24h

USD, CoinGecko

What moved markets

Stocks rose for a third straight day after the Fed left rates unchanged. The S&P 500 gained 0.28% to 7,743.98, the Nasdaq Composite added 0.27% to 26,549.85 and the Dow rose 97.53 points (0.19%) to 52,475.10. source
The Fed kept its benchmark rate at 3.75% to 4% in a 10-2 vote, with Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of a quarter-point hike. The statement said inflation 'remains elevated', upgraded the economy to 'strong', and the Fed will hold one fewer policy meeting next year. Chair Kevin Warsh said he would not prejudge December. source
Bonds steepened: the 2-year Treasury yield slipped to about 4.73% during Warsh's press conference while the 10-year rose 5 basis points to 5.044%, its biggest gain since Sept. 28, and the 30-year reached 5.36%. The dollar ticked down after his comments. source
Under the surface the tape was flat: 244 of 501 S&P 500 tickers rose, the median stock slipped 0.06%, and 54 index stocks moved 3% or more. Basic materials was the best sector (median +0.38%) and communication services the worst (-1.12%). Vertiv jumped 16.5% on earnings and Oracle rose 10.7%, while F5 fell 20.4%. source
Oil climbed on reports the US may renew strikes on Iran after the midterms and a Houthi attack on a Saudi refinery: WTI rose 2.9% to settle at $102.78 and Brent gained 1.3% to $115.32. Spot gold lost 0.5% to about $4,039 an ounce. source
Crypto: bitcoin was near $81,245 and ether near $2,357 Wednesday evening on Yahoo Finance, both up under 1% from Tuesday evening. source

After hours & earnings

Alphabet fell about 9% to 10% after its third-quarter report showed negative free cash flow of $9.07 billion and core search revenue of $63.35 billion, short of the $64.96 billion expected; total revenue of $127.58 billion also missed the LSEG estimate. source
Microsoft rose about 2% to 4% after beating on both lines: fiscal first-quarter revenue of $92.28 billion versus $90.69 billion expected and adjusted EPS of $4.89 versus $4.73, with Azure revenue up 48% year over year. source
Software and security sold off: Fortinet plunged about 25% on a gross-margin shortfall and ServiceNow dropped 15% to 19% after a slight profit miss. Sprouts Farmers Market sank 18% on misses across the board. source
On the upside, Carvana climbed about 10% on a beat and the close of an SEC investigation with no action, Gen Digital rose 8.7% on raised guidance, Chipotle gained 5% to 7% on better same-store sales, and KLA added about 3%. source

Sector performance

SPDR sector ETFs, day change at close.

Top movers (S&P 500)

Gainers

VRT Vertiv	+16.48%
FLEX Flex	+11.61%
ORCL Oracle	+10.73%
LH Labcorp	+8.78%
SNDK Sandisk	+7.66%

Decliners

FFIV F5	-20.43%
CSGP CoStar	-13.96%
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide	-11.14%
LII Lennox International	-10.59%
BKR Baker Hughes	-7.36%

Wednesday 10/28 regular session (S&P 500 members, closing prices). source

Economic calendar

Thu 10/29	8:30a ET	Q3 GDP (advance), September PCE inflation, income and spending, jobless claims
Thu 10/29	9:15a ET	ECB rate decision
Fri 10/30		Bank of Japan decision; euro-area GDP flash

source

Earnings next week

Thu 10/29	Caterpillar, Eli Lilly, Mastercard, Merck (am); Amazon, Intel, Sandisk, Starbucks, Coinbase, Reddit (pm)
Fri 10/30	Chevron, AbbVie, AstraZeneca, Regeneron (am)

am = before open, pm = after close. source

Global & overnight

Europe was subdued ahead of Thursday's ECB decision: the STOXX 600 edged up 0.07% to 644.14 and the DAX rose 0.44%, while Spain's IBEX fell 1.45% as Santander dropped 5.6%. Stellantis jumped about 15% and Deutsche Bank gained about 4%, while Thyssenkrupp fell 17% and Adyen lost more than 13%. source
Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 1.08% to 63,954.19 as SK Hynix results lifted chip stocks (Kioxia +13.8%, Tokyo Electron +4.4%), but the broader TOPIX slipped 0.14% and the 10-year JGB yield rose to 2.819%. source
In London the FTSE 100 ended a touch higher as the UK chancellor's first budget set a temporary bank levy increase smaller than feared, and China's Shanghai Composite fell 1.33%. source

Top companies by SentiSense strength

#	Company	Rating	Sentiment trend (7-day change)	Smart-money flags	Why
1	TXN Texas Instruments	A 98.8	Rising (+13.8)	Analyst upgrade (30d)Analyst net upgrades 30d	Rating A (98.8, top 1.2%); Score 33 (7d) vs 19 (30d); 57% analyst buy, target upside +9%
2	AZN AstraZeneca	A 98.7	Rising (+2.0)	Analyst net upgrades 30d	Rating A (98.7, top 1.3%); Score 36 (7d) vs 34 (30d); 75% analyst buy, target upside +22%
3	MU Micron Technology	A 97.3	Rising (+11.8)	none in free preview	Rating A (97.3, top 2.7%); Score 36 (7d) vs 25 (30d); 92% analyst buy, target upside +59%
4	AMZN Amazon	A 97.2	Steady (-0.8)	none in free preview	Rating A (97.2, top 2.8%); Score 54 (7d) vs 55 (30d); 97% analyst buy, target upside +31%
5	CRM Salesforce	A 98.4	Steady (+1.0)	Analyst net upgrades 30d	Rating A (98.4, top 1.6%); Score 32 (7d) vs 31 (30d); 71% analyst buy, target upside +19%
6	APH Amphenol	A 98.8	Rising (+4.0)	none in free preview	Rating A (98.8, top 0.3%); Score 22 (7d) vs 18 (30d); 89% analyst buy, target upside +27%
7	MSFT Microsoft	A 98.1	Falling (-3.7)	none in free preview	Rating A (98.1, top 0.7%); Score 22 (7d) vs 25 (30d); 95% analyst buy, target upside +14%
8	DVN Devon Energy	A 100.0	Rising (+2.9)	none in free preview	Rating A (100.0, top 0.0%); Score 13 (7d) vs 10 (30d); 100% analyst buy, target upside +20%
9	COST Costco	A 98.5	Falling (-5.1)	none in free preview	Rating A (98.5, top 1.5%); Score 26 (7d) vs 31 (30d); 63% analyst buy, target upside +9%
10	ADI Analog Devices	A 99.7	Rising (+4.4)	none in free preview	Rating A (99.7, top 0.3%); Score 14 (7d) vs 9 (30d); 88% analyst buy, target upside +10%

How it is ranked: Composite = 0.55 x Rating score + 0.25 x SentiSense Score level (avg of 7d & 30d, scaled -10..40 to 0..100) + 0.10 x Score trend (7d minus 30d avg, scaled -10..+10) + 0.10 x analyst buy ratio, +/-3 per smart-money flag (insider cluster, congress, analyst upgrades/momentum). Candidates: top 15 by Rating A/B (of 271 matched). Smart-money feeds are free-key preview slices (cluster-buys 4, politicians 5 of 662, analyst upgrades 50 of 209); absence of a flag is not evidence of absence. AI insight headlines skipped (per-ticker calls over budget).

Educational context only, not buy advice. Source: SentiSense, market-wide screen.